2021 COVID Predictions

Travel Predictions for 2021

When we began the year 2020, no one could have predicted that within a few months the world would be reeling under the coronavirus pandemic. It has now been over 10 months since the pandemic broke out, having killed over 1.6 million and affected over 76 million across the world.

How Has Covid Affected Travel, 2021 COVID Predictions


Several world leaders caught the virus even as they raced to mitigate its effects on their countries, proving that no one was immune to the virus’s reach. However, armed with masks and sanitizer, we are definitely a little more prepared going into 2021. Here’s a resource for 2021 COVID predictions, and what they mean for us travel-thirsty wanderers.

How Are The Predictions Determined

Unlike the weather or the tides, COVID-19 has had unpredictability in its nature. The virus continues to evade our complete understanding, having recently mutated even as vaccines are being approved and rolled out in nations across the world. But scientists and epidemiologists have been hard at work to understand it better, predicting long and short-term projections to prepare for whatever is to come.

2021 COVID Predictions

Thus far, two things are clear to almost all modelers working on projections: that the virus is here to stay for the time being, and that there are a lot of ‘unknowns’ when looking into the future. People may develop a natural immunity to the virus, or it may continue to mutate even beyond the reach of the vaccines being developed. Both these factors, health and progress of the vaccine, play a big role in shaping the future.

Predictions also depend on the decisions that governments make for their countries; Thailand has recently opened its borders to international tourists, although there are precautions to be taken. On the other hand, India has extended its ban on incoming flights from the UK in light of the recent mutation. Data also suggests that behavioural changes can indeed reduce the spread of the virus, making it as important as ever to maintain social distancing and sanitizing constantly.

Is India Open For Domestic Tourism in 2021?

Having been confined to our homes for nearly a year, even more people seem to have gotten bit by the travel bug. While some gave in to the temptation by heading off to various open destinations, others weathered it out by continuing to self-isolate. According to a detailed survey by Booking.com, 71% of Indian travelers said they won’t be comfortable traveling until there is a coronavirus vaccine or treatment in place. However, 52% said they intend to travel within the country in the next 7 to 12 months. But can we finally pack those bags and tick destinations off our bucket lists, or must we continue to wait?

2021 COVID Predictions

Some states in India are yet to open their borders to domestic tourists, while others are open so long as you abide by the rules. We’ve listed out some of the popular states and destinations in India, alongside their current COVID-related regulations and possible changes in the near future. Lucky for you, we’ve also covered COVID-safe stays in most of these destinations, so you don’t have to go looking for reliable accommodation.

Also read: How Has COVID affected travel in India?

Rajasthan: All passengers must submit a Self-Health Declaration form and undergo screening for symptoms. Passengers displaying symptoms will have to be isolated and tested, while all other passengers have 14 days of voluntary home quarantine.

Meghalaya: Meghalaya has opened for tourism since December 21, 2020. You will need an e-invite, procured via the ‘Meghalaya Tourism’ app or with the help of a tour operator. All tourists will have to show the invite/e-invite and a valid COVID negative report. Rapid Antigen Test reports will not be accepted.

Goa: One of the first states to open its borders to domestic tourists, Goa has removed all travel requirements for domestic tourists. However, Health Minister Vishwajit Rane has discussed the possible implementation of a strict night curfew, which may be implemented in the weeks to come.

Himachal Pradesh: All passengers will be thermal screened. Those displaying ‘influenza-like illness’ symptoms and arriving from Red Zone districts will have to undergo 14 days institutional quarantine, while those from Red Zone districts but with a COVID negative report will undergo a 14-day home quarantine. Lahaul – Spiti are currently closed to tourists.

Kerala: All passengers must obtain an e-pass by registering themselves on the COVID Jagratha portal, and carry a negative COVID test if you plan on staying in the state for over seven days.

Delhi: All passengers will be screened for symptoms, and must undergo home quarantine for seven days. Passengers displaying symptoms will have to undergo a COVID test.

Nagaland: Open for domestic tourism since December 27, all entry into Nagaland is from Dimapur. All tourists must obtain an Inner Line Permit from www.ilp.nagaland.gov.in, and produce a valid negative COVID test upon arrival. Tourists also need to obtain an e-invite via the Nagaland Tourism app or website. Anyone showing symptoms will be tested even if they have a negative report.

We recommend staying away from all the mainstream places and tourist attractions in these regions, maybe even avoiding the popular cities. Instead, head for places that are off the beaten path so you encounter as few tourists as possible. This helps you keep your distance and enjoy a safe vacation.

According to the Institute of Risk Management’s (IRM) India Regional Group, 75% of pre-coronavirus travel will be restored by the summer of 2021, with travel reaching numbers similar to 2019 in 2022. Plus, the Association of Domestic Tour Operators of India (ADTOI) has asked the Ministry of Tourism to declare 2021 as the ‘Year of Domestic Tourism in India’. Clearly, everyone senses an increase in domestic travel within the country, but thus far, this is as much as we can predict.

COVID-19 Vaccine In India

2021 does indeed give us reason to be hopeful in the form of vaccines getting approved. Currently, the Drugs Controller General of India has approved of The Serum Institute of India’s Covishield and Bharat Biotech’s Covaxin. The government has planned on inoculating 30 crore priority population with the vaccine by July. The first three crore, including frontline workers and healthcare professionals, will be vaccinated over the next two months. This isn’t so much a prediction than a plan, but we hope to see it fulfilled nonetheless.

How Has Covid Affected Travel, 2021 COVID Predictions

Conclusion

When interviewed, Rosalind Eggo, an infectious-disease modeler at the London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine (LSHTM), says, “A lot of places are unlocking, and a lot of places aren’t. We don’t really yet know what’s going to happen.” And in all honesty, neither do we. The COVID predictions are but predictions, and like the travel regulations, can change at any point of time.What we’ve stated could turn out to be untrue. So just continue to remain safe and take every precaution from COVID-19. Make sure you read up on some COVID-safe travel you can undertake in India to slightly satiate your hunger for travel.

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    Travel Predictions For 2021 During Covid Travel Predictions In India During Covid 2021

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